Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
14%
4.11
X/2
10%
7.43
X/X
16%
4.23
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.12
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.61/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.64
-13% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.2 Crosses 19.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
380 Passes 427
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
19.08.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
28.04.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
30.11.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
20.04.2019 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
01.09.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-6 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2-0
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
2.37 xG 0.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
223 Passes 240
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus beat Jubilo Iwata 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nagoya Grampus as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 48% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 52%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.37 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.83 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo Iwata?

Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 45%, draw 30%, Jubilo Iwata 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
28 Sep 2024
07:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
11:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo Analysis →
11:00 Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →
12:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
13:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →