Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Sep 2024

Cerezo Osaka
0-0 HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
28.5
1/X
11%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.93
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
9%
4.3
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
14%
3.42
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.20
+5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.7 Crosses 17.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.88 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
456 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.04.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
12.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
23.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
08.10.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
05.04.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
07.11.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP

Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
0-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.60 xG 0.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
332 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 56% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 44%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 0.67 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 36%, draw 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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