Consadole Sapporo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
9%
6.2
X/2
14%
5.62
X/X
7%
5.27
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
22%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.25/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.34
+7% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.1 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 235
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
19.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
19.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-1 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
02.07.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
07.05.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
20.04.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
2-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.58 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
224 Passes 241
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
45 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo beat Kyoto Sanga 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kyoto Sanga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 49% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 51%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.58 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.50 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Kyoto Sanga?

Consadole Sapporo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 31%, draw 23%, Kyoto Sanga 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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