Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.39
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
9.59
X/X
9%
6.14
2/1
9%
19.6
2/2
12%
6.87
2/X
7%
15.0
Value flag · X/2 at 9.59 — our 14% vs market 7.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.12/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.64
-46% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 482
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
14.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.06.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-3 HT 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 52% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 48%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.50 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - League Cup on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 45%, draw 24%, Yokohama F. Marinos 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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