Irtysh Pavlodar 2-2 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.7pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.70/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.82
-30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
FAQ Irtysh Pavlodar vs Yelimay Semey
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Irtysh Pavlodar and Yelimay Semey shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

What was the final score of Irtysh Pavlodar vs Yelimay Semey?

Irtysh Pavlodar 2-2 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irtysh Pavlodar vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Irtysh Pavlodar 34%, draw 21%, Yelimay Semey 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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