Ulytau 1-0 Kaspyi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.5pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulytau EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.30
-28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ulytau vs Kaspyi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulytau edged past Kaspyi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ulytau as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ulytau vs Kaspyi?

Ulytau 1-0 Kaspyi in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulytau vs Kaspyi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulytau win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulytau 42%, draw 28%, Kaspyi 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulytau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulytau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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