Okzhetpes 1-0 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 May 2026

Okzhetpes
1-0 HT 1-0
FC Astana
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Okzhetpes vs FC Astana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Okzhetpes v FC Astana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.84/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.46
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +84%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Okzhetpes vs FC Astana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Astana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
The Meetings
28.09.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
15.06.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 5-2 HT 3-2 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
13.04.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
27.09.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 5-2 HT 3-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
14.05.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
26.10.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-5 HT 0-3 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes squeezed past FC Astana 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Okzhetpes and 3.00 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs FC Astana?

Okzhetpes 1-0 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 29%, draw 29%, FC Astana 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Astana), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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