Alianza Petrolera 3-0 Real San Andres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
8%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
70%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Real San Andres EU Bookmakers 14%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.02/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.68
-3% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -49%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Real San Andres
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
23.02.2023 Real San Andres Real San Andres 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOLK
16.02.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 4-1 HT 2-0 Real San Andres Real San Andres KOLK
23.07.2014 Real San Andres Real San Andres 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOLK
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Real San Andres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera swept aside Real San Andres 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Petrolera as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Real San Andres.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Real San Andres?

Alianza Petrolera 3-0 Real San Andres in the Colombia - Cup on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Real San Andres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 73%, draw 19%, Real San Andres 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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