Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 16 May 2026

Patriotas Boyaca
2-3 HT 1-1
Millonarios
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.6pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Patriotas Boyaca v Millonarios — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 49%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.28/2.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.13
-75% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.50 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
276 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
25.02.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.10.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
02.05.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
07.09.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
14.03.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-2 HT 0-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios edged past Patriotas Boyaca 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (26% / 35% / 39%) promised a tight game; Millonarios found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.33 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios?

Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 Millonarios in the Colombia - Cup on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 26%, draw 35%, Millonarios 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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