Orsomarso 1-1 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 16 May 2026

Orsomarso
1-1 HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orsomarso v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsomarso EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.13/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.11
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsomarso and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin?

Orsomarso 1-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Cup on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orsomarso 31%, draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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