Baerum 2-4 Asker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

Baerum
2-4 HT 2-3
Asker
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.41
No
31%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+1.6pp
69%
BTTS Yes
67%
+2.1pp
31%
BTTS No
33%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Asker EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.85
+64% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Asker
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Asker Asker 0-1 HT 0-1 Baerum Baerum NOR4
20.05.2024 Baerum Baerum 1-4 HT 1-2 Asker Asker NOR4
24.05.2023 Asker Asker 0-2 HT 0-0 Baerum Baerum NOK
31.07.2022 Baerum Baerum 2-3 HT 1-0 Asker Asker NOR3
14.05.2022 Asker Asker 0-2 HT 0-1 Baerum Baerum NOR3
02.10.2021 Asker Asker 3-0 HT 2-0 Baerum Baerum NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
2-4
AWAY Asker
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Asker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asker got the better of Baerum 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Asker as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baerum had 45% of the ball to Asker's 55%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baerum and 1.67 for Asker.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Asker?

Baerum 2-4 Asker in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Asker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asker win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Baerum 26%, draw 19%, Asker 55%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asker), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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