Torreense 4-0 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.51
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +78%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 13.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vizela
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
266 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2026 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
10.02.2025 Torreense Torreense 2-4 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR2
31.08.2024 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
4-0
AWAY Vizela
3.16 xG 0.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
297 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense ran out comfortable winners over Vizela 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torreense had 50% of the ball to Vizela's 50%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 3.16 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torreense and 1.67 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Vizela?

Torreense 4-0 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Torreense 43%, draw 23%, Vizela 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
16 May 2026
13:00 Academico Viseu vs Sporting CP II Analysis →