Polonya vs Hollanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polonya v Hollanda — Team-Based Signals
Polonya vs Hollanda Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Hollanda
AVUL
2-2
HT 0-1
Polonya
AVUL
1-2
HT 1-0
Hollanda
AVUL
1-0
HT 0-0
Polonya
AVUL
1-2
HT 0-1
Hollanda
HAZ
Polonya 1-2 Hollanda — Actual Match Statistics
Hollanda edged past Polonya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hollanda as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Polonya had 34% of the ball to Hollanda's 66%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.32 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hollanda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Polonya and 1.80 for Hollanda.
What was the final score of Polonya vs Hollanda?
Polonya 1-2 Hollanda in the Euro on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polonya vs Hollanda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Polonya 26%, draw 20%, Hollanda 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.