Sırbistan 0-1 İngiltere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
45%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.69
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
5%
17.85
X/1
13%
12.0
X/2
19%
3.64
X/X
13%
5.6
2/1
5%
65.0
2/2
20%
1.9
2/X
10%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+10.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
44%
Away Win
61%
-16.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
Crosses 11.5
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan
0-1
AWAY İngiltere
0.18 xG 0.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
438 Passes 527
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sırbistan vs İngiltere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere edged past Sırbistan 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İngiltere as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sırbistan had 47% of the ball to İngiltere's 53%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.18 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Sırbistan vs İngiltere?

Sırbistan 0-1 İngiltere in the Euro on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan vs İngiltere?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan 27%, draw 28%, İngiltere 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVR More Euro
16 Jun 2024
16:00 Polonya vs Hollanda Analysis →
19:00 Slovenya vs Danimarka Analysis →