Slovenya 1-1 Danimarka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 16 Jun 2024

Slovenya
1-1 HT 0-1
Danimarka
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Euro – 2024

Slovenya vs Danimarka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.61
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.09
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
9%
10.25
X/2
15%
3.69
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
6%
69.0
2/2
24%
2.19
2/X
9%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slovenya v Danimarka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovenya EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka EU Bookmakers 59%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.60/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.92/0.96
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -13%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
– Crosses 22.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Slovenya vs Danimarka Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovenya
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Danimarka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.23 xG 1.86
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
254 Passes 522
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.11.2023 Danimarka Danimarka 2-1 HT 1-1 Slovenya Slovenya AVŞE
19.06.2023 Slovenya Slovenya 1-1 HT 1-1 Danimarka Danimarka AVŞE
06.02.2008 Slovenya Slovenya 1-2 HT 1-1 Danimarka Danimarka HAZ

Slovenya 1-1 Danimarka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovenya
1-1
AWAY Danimarka
1.10 xG 1.66
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
241 Passes 583
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovenya vs Danimarka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovenya and Danimarka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Danimarka at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Slovenya had 32% of the ball to Danimarka's 68%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.10 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Danimarka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slovenya and 1.67 for Danimarka.

What was the final score of Slovenya vs Danimarka?

Slovenya 1-1 Danimarka in the Euro on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovenya vs Danimarka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danimarka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slovenya 25%, draw 26%, Danimarka 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danimarka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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