Brusque vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brusque v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Brusque vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
5-1
HT 1-1
Brusque
BRK
0-2
HT 0-1
Ceara
BRK
0-1
HT 0-0
Ceara
BRK
Brusque 1-0 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Brusque squeezed past Ceara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Brusque had 49% of the ball to Ceara's 51%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.40 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Brusque and 2.67 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Brusque vs Ceara?
Brusque 1-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brusque vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brusque 29%, draw 27%, Ceara 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.