Ituano vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Paysandu
BRE3
Ituano 3-5 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Paysandu beat Ituano 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Paysandu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ituano had 46% of the ball to Paysandu's 54%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 2.50 to 2.10.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Paysandu?
Ituano 3-5 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ituano 37%, draw 29%, Paysandu 34%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.