EPS 2-2 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 16 Jun 2024

EPS
2-2 HT 1-2
FC Lahti
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.66
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+7.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EPS
2-2
AWAY FC Lahti
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH EPS vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS and FC Lahti couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Lahti at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, EPS had 45% of the ball to FC Lahti's 55%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of EPS vs FC Lahti?

EPS 2-2 FC Lahti in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split EPS 22%, draw 19%, FC Lahti 58%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Lahti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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