IFK Mariehamn 1-3 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 16 Jun 2024

IFK Mariehamn
1-3 HT 0-2
KuPS Kuopio
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Finland - Suomen Cup – 2024

IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.0
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
9%
11.2
X/2
18%
3.73
X/X
15%
5.39
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
1.97
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Mariehamn v KuPS Kuopio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.46/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.74
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +90%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
210 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.71
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
225 Passes 530
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
27.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
30.04.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
14.08.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
08.05.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN

IFK Mariehamn 1-3 KuPS Kuopio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1-3
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio saw off IFK Mariehamn 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 37% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 63%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.17 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio?

IFK Mariehamn 1-3 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 26%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5
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