KTP Kotka 1-5 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 57%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/1.95
-33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 2.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-4 HT 1-3 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
07.06.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
18.02.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
31.08.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-3 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.05.2021 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
19.08.2015 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
1-5
AWAY Inter Turku
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku ran out comfortable winners over KTP Kotka 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 50% of the ball to Inter Turku's 50%, shots finished 16-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KTP Kotka and 2.00 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs Inter Turku?

KTP Kotka 1-5 Inter Turku in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 27%, draw 28%, Inter Turku 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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