Rochedale Rovers 2-5 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 16 Jun 2026

📅16/06/2026 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
60%
Away Win
63%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.2pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 67%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.59/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.39
-48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochedale Rovers
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
21.03.2026 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-1 HT 1-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
18.08.2024 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 1-3 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
19.05.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior swept aside Rochedale Rovers 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rochedale Rovers and 2.67 for Moreton City Excelsior.

What was the final score of Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Rochedale Rovers 2-5 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 16/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rochedale Rovers 18%, draw 22%, Moreton City Excelsior 60%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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