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16/07/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Senegal (K) vs Kongo (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
47%
26%
Draw
27%
29%
Away Win
26%
55%
Under 2.5
58%
45%
Over 2.5
42%
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
55%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Senegal (K) v Kongo (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Senegal (K)
The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kongo (K)
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
368 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
319 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Senegal (K) vs Kongo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Senegal (K) got the better of Kongo (K) 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Senegal (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Senegal (K) vs Kongo (K)?
Senegal (K) 2-0 Kongo (K) in the Friendlies on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Senegal (K) vs Kongo (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Senegal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Senegal (K) 45%, draw 26%, Kongo (K) 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Senegal (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Senegal (K))
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
16 Jul 2024