Huachipato 2-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.62/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.75
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
8.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.0 Crosses 21.8
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nublense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2025 Nublense Nublense 2-2 HT 2-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİLİK
31.05.2025 Huachipato Huachipato 0-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
10.11.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
20.06.2024 Nublense Nublense 3-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
04.12.2023 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
14.05.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-0 HT 2-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
2-1
AWAY Nublense
0.74 xG 1.82
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 10
156 Passes 371
59% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 43
5 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato nicked a narrow win over Nublense 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huachipato had 33% of the ball to Nublense's 67%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.74 to 1.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nublense.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huachipato had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Huachipato and 1.00 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Nublense?

Huachipato 2-1 Nublense in the Chile - Cup on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 45%, draw 29%, Nublense 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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