Santiago Wanderers 1-5 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santiago Wanderers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 37%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
0.02/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.34
-99% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santiago Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY La Serena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
188 Passes 345
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.07.2025 La Serena La Serena 4-2 HT 1-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİK
08.07.2023 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
19.02.2023 La Serena La Serena 3-1 HT 1-1 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİB
05.12.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİL
21.08.2021 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
18.01.2021 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santiago Wanderers
1-5
AWAY La Serena
0.73 xG 2.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
288 Passes 333
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santiago Wanderers vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena ran out comfortable winners over Santiago Wanderers 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; La Serena found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santiago Wanderers had 50% of the ball to La Serena's 50%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.73 to 2.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santiago Wanderers and 1.67 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Santiago Wanderers vs La Serena?

Santiago Wanderers 1-5 La Serena in the Chile - Cup on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santiago Wanderers vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santiago Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Santiago Wanderers 36%, draw 28%, La Serena 36%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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