Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.65/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.67
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
426 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 399
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2021 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
14.04.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-2 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP
27.09.2015 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP2
21.06.2015 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
22.10.2014 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 3-1 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP
08.03.2014 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-2 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2-0
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka saw off Tokushima Vortis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 57% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 0.67 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 50%, draw 24%, Tokushima Vortis 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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