Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
7%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.43
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
9%
6.3
X/2
9%
5.17
X/X
11%
4.83
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.27
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 45%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.86/0.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.30
-47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.21 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
388 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
24.05.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
05.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 3-0 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
10.09.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-4 HT 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.08.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse edged past Shonan Bellmare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shimizu S-Pulse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 55% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 45%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 2.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 40%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JPK More Japan - İmparatorluk Cup
16 Jul 2025
12:30 Cerezo Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
12:30 Reinmeer Aomori vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
13:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagamihara Analysis →
13:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Analysis →
13:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
13:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →