Al Hikma 3-1 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
71%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
52%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
-0.0pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.1pp
71%
Away Win
68%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hikma EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 72%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.01/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.21/1.01
+66% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -46%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hikma
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahed
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.06.2025 Al Hikma Al Hikma 2-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
07.05.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Hikma Al Hikma LUBN
07.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Hikma Al Hikma LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hikma got the better of Al Ahed 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahed at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hikma and 2.00 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Al Hikma vs Al Ahed?

Al Hikma 3-1 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hikma vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Al Hikma 14%, draw 15%, Al Ahed 71%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahed) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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