Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 Petrovac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrovac EU Bookmakers 19%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Petrovac
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2026 Petrovac Petrovac 1-3 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius AVKL
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius squeezed past Petrovac 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 Petrovac in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 59%, draw 22%, Petrovac 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5
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