16/07/2026
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Aluminij vs FC Sheriff Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
29%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
46%
58%
Under 2.5
59%
42%
Over 2.5
41%
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
51%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aluminij v FC Sheriff — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aluminij
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Sheriff
EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-58%
/
+75%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
289 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
373 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Aluminij vs FC Sheriff Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Aluminij
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
FC Sheriff
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
9
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Target
9
4
Corners
7
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
Aluminij 0-1 FC Sheriff — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Aluminij
0-1
AWAY
FC Sheriff
20
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
2
13
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Aluminij vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Sheriff squeezed past Aluminij 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day FC Sheriff made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 20-9.
What was the final score of Aluminij vs FC Sheriff?
Aluminij 0-1 FC Sheriff in the UEFA Europa League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aluminij vs FC Sheriff?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 32%, draw 29%, FC Sheriff 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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AVL
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16 Jul 2026