Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v CSKA Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
CSKA Sofia
AVL
1-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
AVL
Derry City 1-2 CSKA Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Sofia edged past Derry City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 7-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Derry City and 1.67 for CSKA Sofia.
What was the final score of Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Derry City 1-2 CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Derry City 26%, draw 23%, CSKA Sofia 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.