Barcelona SC 1-1 Guayaquil City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.71
Over 2.5
55%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
31%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
61%
+7.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Guayaquil City EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.50/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.90
-6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
21.5 Crosses 8.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Guayaquil City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.83 xG 0.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
282 Passes 363
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2026 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
27.11.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
11.06.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
03.10.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
09.05.2022 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-4 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
08.08.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 2-1 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-1
AWAY Guayaquil City
1.40 xG 0.39
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
310 Passes 470
25 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC and Guayaquil City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Barcelona SC at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.40 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barcelona SC and 0.83 for Guayaquil City.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City?

Barcelona SC 1-1 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 68%, draw 19%, Guayaquil City 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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