Uni. Catolica 1-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.8
Over 2.5
61%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.73
No
37%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
52%
-12.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
48%
+12.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
54%
+9.6pp
37%
BTTS No
46%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.38/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.49
+42% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
15.8 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.28 xG 1.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 Passes 277
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
22.12.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
22.09.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-4 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
25.05.2025 Uni. Catolica 3-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
24.11.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
26.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
1-0
AWAY LDU Quito
0.68 xG 0.88
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
355 Passes 243
18 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Uni. Catolica edged past LDU Quito 1-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 16 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.68 to 0.88.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Uni. Catolica and 2.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito?

Uni. Catolica 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 37%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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