Uni. Catolica 3-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 May 2025

Uni. Catolica
3-1 HT 0-0
LDU Quito
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.54/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
+33% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
17.8 Crosses 13.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
1W-0D-5L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.49 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
26.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
29.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
25.07.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-0 HT 3-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
06.03.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 3-1 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
3-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.25 xG 2.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
300 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica got the better of LDU Quito 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 50% of the ball to LDU Quito's 50%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.25 to 2.08 — on chances, LDU Quito could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Uni. Catolica and 2.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito?

Uni. Catolica 3-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 41%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5
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