Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.71/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.52
+10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.3 Crosses 12.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Delfin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
239 Passes 188
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
17.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
04.12.2023 Delfin Delfin 2-2 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
20.06.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
06.09.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
20.04.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-2
AWAY Delfin
0.29 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
194 Passes 271
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin nicked a narrow win over Tecnico Universitario 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tecnico Universitario at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 44% of the ball to Delfin's 56%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.29 to 1.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Delfin's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.00 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin?

Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 46%, draw 30%, Delfin 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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