Libertad vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Libertad 0-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Macara squeezed past Libertad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Libertad had 60% of the ball to Macara's 40%, shots finished 10-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Macara led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Libertad and 2.00 for Macara.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Macara?
Libertad 0-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Libertad 41%, draw 28%, Macara 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.