Macara vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Macara 3-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Macara cruised past Libertad 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Macara had 47% of the ball to Libertad's 53%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.96 to 0.39.
What was the final score of Macara vs Libertad?
Macara 3-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Macara 50%, draw 26%, Libertad 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.