Libertad vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Libertad 0-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Macara edged past Libertad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Macara found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Libertad had 52% of the ball to Macara's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.57 to 1.24.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Macara?
Libertad 0-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Libertad 38%, draw 27%, Macara 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Libertad), BTTS Yes went the other way.