LDU Quito 2-0 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.61
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
58%
+4.8pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.4pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -6%
1.83/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.24
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.2 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-4 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
25.05.2025 Uni. Catolica 3-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
24.11.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
26.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
29.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-0
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.79 xG 0.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 441
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 10
7 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito beat Uni. Catolica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LDU Quito had 43% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 57%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for LDU Quito and 1.67 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?

LDU Quito 2-0 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 63%, draw 18%, Uni. Catolica 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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