LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
LDU Quito
EKV1
LDU Quito
EKV1
LDU Quito 2-4 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics
Uni. Catolica got the better of LDU Quito 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, LDU Quito had 56% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 44%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.35 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for LDU Quito and 1.67 for Uni. Catolica.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?
LDU Quito 2-4 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 46%, draw 22%, Uni. Catolica 32%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.