Aucas 0-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Sep 2025

Aucas
0-0 HT 0-0
Orense
📅22/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.60/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.27
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.5 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Orense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
256 Passes 294
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
03.08.2024 Orense Orense 4-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
02.03.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
04.12.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
24.06.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
09.07.2022 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
0-0
AWAY Orense
0.43 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
377 Passes 337
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aucas vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas and Orense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Aucas had 52% of the ball to Orense's 48%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.43 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aucas and 1.17 for Orense.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Orense?

Aucas 0-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aucas 51%, draw 22%, Orense 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aucas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5
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