Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
+33% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
18.0 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
22.09.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
07.04.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
25.09.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
23.04.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
09.10.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
0-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.67 xG 0.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 3
361 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 9
50 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC squeezed past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 59% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 41%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.67 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Cuenca.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.50 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 43%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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