Macara vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Macara 1-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Macara and Libertad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Macara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Macara had 53% of the ball to Libertad's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.84 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Macara and 0.00 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Macara vs Libertad?
Macara 1-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Macara 42%, draw 25%, Libertad 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.