Leones del Norte 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Jul 2026

Leones del Norte
1-1 HT 1-1
Deportivo Cuenca
📅16/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leones del Norte v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 30%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +25%
1.83/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.20
+37% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +62%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
13.0 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones del Norte
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
230 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 27
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.03.2026 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte EKV1

Leones del Norte 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones del Norte
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.16 xG 0.89
26 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 141
30 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones del Norte and Deportivo Cuenca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Leones del Norte 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones del Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 36%, draw 33%, Deportivo Cuenca 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leones del Norte), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones del Norte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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