LDU Quito 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.61/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.26
+41% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.5 Crosses 15.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
290 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
22.09.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-4 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
25.05.2025 Uni. Catolica 3-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
24.11.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
26.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
1-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.81 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
301 Passes 371
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and Uni. Catolica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, LDU Quito had 46% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 54%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for LDU Quito and 1.67 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?

LDU Quito 1-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 54%, draw 24%, Uni. Catolica 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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