Emelec vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Orense — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Orense
EKV1
2-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
Emelec 2-1 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec edged past Orense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Emelec as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Emelec had 61% of the ball to Orense's 39%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.05 to 0.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Emelec and 0.67 for Orense.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Orense?
Emelec 2-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Emelec 45%, draw 28%, Orense 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emelec) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.