Emelec vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Orense — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Orense
EKV1
2-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Orense
EKV1
2-0
HT 2-0
Emelec
EKV1
Emelec 1-0 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec squeezed past Orense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Emelec made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Emelec had 48% of the ball to Orense's 52%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.81 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Emelec and 1.00 for Orense.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Orense?
Emelec 1-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Emelec 35%, draw 32%, Orense 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emelec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.