Delfin 1-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
46%
-10.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.03
-7% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
198 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
16.1 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.62 xG 1.52
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
140 Passes 413
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-2 HT 0-2 Delfin Delfin EKV1
02.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.09.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
09.04.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.09.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
24.04.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.20 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
362 Passes 383
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin and Independiente Del Valle shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Delfin had 50% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 50%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Delfin and 1.33 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle?

Delfin 1-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Delfin 38%, draw 27%, Independiente Del Valle 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Delfin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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