Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 2-3 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional edged past Mushuc Runa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 48% of the ball to El Nacional's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.20 to 0.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.67 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional?
Mushuc Runa 2-3 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 41%, draw 30%, El Nacional 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Under 2.5 went the other way.