Deportivo Cuenca 3-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.41/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.13
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.5 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.77
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 373
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.03.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
07.10.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-3 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.05.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
08.08.2022 Uni. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
22.03.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
3-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.16 xG 0.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
283 Passes 434
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca got the better of Uni. Catolica 3-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Cuenca found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 40% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 60%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.16 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.83 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica?

Deportivo Cuenca 3-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 36%, draw 28%, Uni. Catolica 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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