Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Aug 2024

Deportivo Cuenca
1-2 HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Cuenca v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.32/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.97
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.3 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 379
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
07.10.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-3 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.05.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
08.08.2022 Uni. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
22.03.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.10.2021 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1

Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.52 xG 2.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 199
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
9 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Uni. Catolica made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 53% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 47%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.52 to 2.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Uni. Catolica's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 2.00 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 37%, draw 24%, Uni. Catolica 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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